Stickybeak

Minchinbury 2770 suburb insights

Minchinbury (2770) is a suburb in the Blacktown local government area in New South Wales. This page brings together 16 data cards on what property buyers actually need to know before committing to Minchinbury: affordability signals including median sale prices, rental yield, and first home buyer eligibility; lifestyle indicators covering school catchments, childcare quality, walkability, and commute times to the CBD; and risk factors including flood zone mapping, bushfire prone land, and air quality. The final section tracks how Minchinbury is changing — new housing supply from the development pipeline, historical price trajectory, and demographic shifts from the ABS Census. All data is sourced from NSW government and federal datasets and updated regularly. Use the section navigation above to jump between Affordability, Lifestyle, Dealbreakers, and Change.

Last refreshed April 2026 (most cards). Per-card sources show exact dates.

All data has limits. See our data caveats.

Affordability

Can I afford Minchinbury?

Can I afford Minchinbury?

Serviceability check

What would a typical mortgage look like in Minchinbury? Based on the suburb median of $1,130,000 (houses) and the local median household income.


Monthly repayment
$5,578/mo

6.3% variable · Apr 2026

Repayment-to-income
58.3%

Stretch

Loan assumptions
$904,000 loan
20% deposit ($226,000)
30-year P&I

At today's rate, repayments here would eat 58% of the typical local household's gross income. That is out of reach for most buyers.


Repayment burden vs Sydney median income
Minchinbury58.3%
Sydney median income62.2%
30% stress line

Assumes a 20% deposit and a 30-year P&I owner-occupier loan at the current Sydney variable rate. Your actual rate, deposit, and income will differ.

Nearby suburbs with lower medians

Still looking? These suburbs are closer to reach.

Based on median prices and a 20% deposit at 6.27% variable.
Can I afford Minchinbury?

Rental market in Minchinbury

Median weekly rent from lodged bonds. Sep 2025. Based on 66 new bond lodgements this quarter.

Rents here sit around the Sydney middle. A balance of rental stock and owner-occupier demand.


Median weekly rent · Unit · 2 bed
$470per week
Sep 2025 · 66 bonds lodged

Quarterly trend · last 12 quarters
Dec 22: $370 per week (45 bonds)Mar 23: $360 per week (53 bonds)Jun 23: $360 per week (66 bonds)Sep 23: $400 per week (69 bonds)Dec 23: $433 per week (54 bonds)Mar 24: $428 per week (62 bonds)Jun 24: $430 per week (74 bonds)Sep 24: $450 per week (69 bonds)Dec 24: $440 per week (67 bonds)Mar 25: $440 per week (79 bonds)Jun 25: $450 per week (75 bonds)Sep 25: $470 per week (66 bonds)Dec 22Jun 24Sep 25


Nearby suburbs · same combination

Hassall Grove2761
$500$30
2.9 km away
St Marys2760
$483$13
3.4 km away
Rooty Hill2766
$520$50
4.2 km away
Doonside2767
$550$80
5.5 km away
NSW DCJ Rental Bond Board · Sep 2025 · CC BY. Cells with 10 or fewer bond lodgements are suppressed; cells with 30 or fewer have the bond count suppressed but rent published. Figures are transacted rents, not asking rents.

Lifestyle

Minchinbury Lifestyle

Dealbreakers

Any dealbreakers?

Any dealbreakers?

Air quality in Minchinbury

34
FairAQI · NSW DCCEEW
05:24 AEST
St Marys station · 6.8 km from centroid
12-month median: AQI 32 · Good

Air quality is acceptable but sensitive groups may notice effects.


Pollutants
nearest station
PM2.5i
5.0µg/m³
24-hr avg
PM10i
16.8µg/m³
24-hr avg
NO₂i
0.5pphm
1hr reading

AQI · last 12 months · daily mean
St Marys station · 365 daily points
Source: NSW DCCEEW Air Quality API (CC BY 4.0). Historical data updated weekly; live readings cached 60 minutes.

Change

How might Minchinbury change?

DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE · NSW PLANNING PORTAL · 2770

What’s in the pipeline

NSW Planning Portal feed paused at the source for postcode 2770. Expected back by Q3 2026.

NSW PLANNING PORTAL
How might Minchinbury change?

Investor activity in Minchinbury

2770 · ATO Taxation Statistics · ~18-month lag

Source: ATO Taxation Statistics (CC BY 2.5 AU).

What to do next

Three steps to move from research to action.

1
Get pre-approved

Know your budget before you inspect. A pre-approval letter strengthens your offer.

Read our guides
2
Set a listings alert

See new listings in Minchinbury under the median ($620,000).

Search on Domain
3
Join the contract-review waitlist

Have your Section 66W reviewed before you sign.

Join the waitlist

Track Minchinbury.

Get one email when Minchinbury's prices, FHB eligibility, or strata health change. No newsletter, no upsell, unsubscribe with one click.

Compare Minchinbury with another suburb

Also in Blacktown

Comparing suburbs in the same area can sharpen your decision. Browse suburb insights for other Blacktown postcodes, or explore the full Blacktown suburb index.

Blacktown 2148Marsden Park 2765Mount Druitt 2770Quakers Hill 2763

Frequently asked questions

What suburb is postcode 2770?
Minchinbury is the primary suburb with postcode 2770 in New South Wales. In some cases multiple suburbs share the same postcode — Minchinbury is the main locality.
Which local government area is Minchinbury in?
Minchinbury (2770) is located in the Blacktown local government area in New South Wales.
What data does Stickybeak show for Minchinbury?
Stickybeak shows 16 data cards for Minchinbury (2770) covering affordability (median sale prices, rental yield, first home buyer eligibility), lifestyle (schools, childcare, walkability, commute times), risk factors (flood zones, bushfire prone land, air quality, traffic volume), and suburb growth signals (development pipeline, price trajectory, demographics).
Is Minchinbury flood prone?
Flood risk varies street by street in Minchinbury. Check the Dealbreakers section on this page for the latest NSW flood zone mapping sourced from official state government data. Always verify at the property level with a Section 10.7 certificate before purchasing.
What are the best schools near Minchinbury?
The Schools card on this page lists primary and secondary schools within the catchment area for Minchinbury (2770), including their NAPLAN performance data and distance from the suburb centre.
Is Minchinbury (2770) eligible for the First Home Buyer scheme?
The First Home Buyer eligibility card on this page shows which NSW and federal government schemes — including the First Home Guarantee, stamp duty exemptions, and the First Home Super Saver scheme — apply to purchases in Minchinbury (2770). Eligibility depends on the purchase price and your individual circumstances.
How is Minchinbury changing?
The Change section on this page covers new housing supply from the development pipeline, historical price trajectory, and demographic shifts for Minchinbury (2770) using data from NSW Planning, the ATO, and the ABS.

Explore Minchinbury in depth

Dig deeper into specific topics for Minchinbury 2770: see flood risk, schools, walkability, and rental market as standalone pages. Or browse the full Blacktown suburb index to compare nearby options.